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Dollar Flash Crash Print
Written by Site admin   
Friday, 30 December 2016 15:11

arrowflash

 

 

Dollar Flash Crash - The HFT Algo boys are at it again. Last night, just when Forex trading was at it's sleepiest the algos saw a US$ vacuum and filled it with massive sells against the Euro.

euroflashThey then completed the 150 pip move with an immediate buy back that took all of a few minutes.

Nice, quick and easy for the algo companies. !!!xxx!!! for the thousands of traders whose stops were hit, boosting the algos profits.

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It's the Dow at 20,000!!. Print
Written by Site admin   
Thursday, 22 December 2016 13:16

bullmarket
  The Bulls are roaring, the charge is unstoppable, just jump aboard and enjoy the ride!

  There's something about big round numbers, we see it so often. They seem to have a magical magnetic attraction and the Trump booster rocket has almost made it to the magic 20,000. There's an old stock market saying "Equities climb a wall of fear" and that seemed to apply in the immediate aftermath of Trump's election.

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50:1 or 500:1? Print
Written by Site admin   
Wednesday, 21 December 2016 10:09

HomeThe FCA is at long last catching up with US regulators and proposing changes to what has become the wild west amongst questionable spread betting, CFD and Binary providers.

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Janet did it! Print
Written by Site admin   
Thursday, 15 December 2016 14:34

Christmas has come early this year, at least for Forex traders. We had the Trump rally in stock markets and the US$ and then Janet followed through with her promise of the quarter point increase that everyone expected, and the Dollar has taken off again.

What was unexpected though was the even more upbeat tone of her statement from previous ones and responses to questions:

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Buy the rumour, sell the fact Print
Written by Site admin   
Tuesday, 13 December 2016 19:08

Has it all been over cooked? The Trump US$ rally seems to have kicked off on the basis that his policies will be inflationary and so interest rates will have to rise. Added to this, the Fed has been telling us all year there will be at least a modest rate increase. Next Wednesday 14th is the last opportunity the Fed and Janet Yellen have to do the deed, consequently the market is convinced it's a done deal and priced it in with the Trump rally.

But the TMEST swing chart is suggesting the dollar rally could be rolling over. So we had best trade what we see and not what we think, or have been told to think!

Markets have a habit of rising on rumours of good news and then promptly reversing when it's actually announced, as further expectations of good news slip away. Perhaps the market is coming to the idea that the US economy, talked up over the last year is just that, talk.

If Trump is to boost the economy it's not going to happen instantly. Any delays, and if the US economy actually turns out to be weak at the start of 2017, could result in what usually happens in the year following a two term presidency. Recession.

 
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From the blog

What's the Yield Curve Invertion?

What's meant by the Inverting Yield Curve?

 

The blogosphere is full of the impending collapse of the Dow with some pundits talking of 14,000 in 2019, a modest 10,000 points lower. Right or wrong, the fuel that has kept stock markets forever bubbling, an endless wall of money and a strong economy, will eventually end. Is the yield curve telling us the economy is about to fall of a cliff?

Normality

Government and corporate bonds are issued with different maturities. The standard US bond is the 30 year, but there are many different maturities, typically 3, 5 and 10 year, etc. Some run for just a few months to maturity, whilst some whacky corporate bonds have been issued with maturities way out at 100 years!

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